Going back to the Moon will be great -- if it's a means to an end and not an end in itself.
The Trump administration announced an initiative today to partner with private industry to return Americans to the Moon, and continue on to Mars.
I like the idea...if it's done right. But it could easily be done wrong.
First a confession
The starry-eyed idealist in me believes that we MUST establish a population of humans off the Earth, because there are SO many things that could destroy the Earth, or at least destroy civilization. I have thought this since I was old enough to understand the ramifications of the Cold War, and my ideas have been strengthened by the credible threats of climate change, big rocks from space, and even things like the Yellowstone super-volcano, not to mention epidemics, political stupidity, and other threats.
For the human race to insure that it will survive for the very long term, we have to distribute ourselves, in a way that is sustainable, on many different worlds, and eventually many different star systems.
Now back to today
Based on my logic above, having a significant human presence on the Moon, and eventually getting it to the point where it does not need resupply from Earth, would be a good thing.
Having a significant human presence on MARS, and eventually getting it to the point where it does not need resupply from Earth, would also be a good thing, and possibly easier to sustain, in the long run, than the Moon.
There are other worlds in our solar system with lots of water and the possibility of sustainable colonies, as well.
Why return to the Moon now?
The biggest reason to go to the Moon now is to begin developing the technology we need to do the rest of this stuff.
A lander that can set down on Mars would also likely be able to set down on the Moon, which would be a good way to test it. The deep space outpost around the Moon, previously announced, can be the precursor of the orbit-to-orbit "mother ship" that takes people and landers to Mars, and maybe farther out. We need to develop these things, step by step.
But we also need to start thinking not just in terms of reusable space vehicles, but also vehicles that can do lots of stuff. Like the space opera fiction of the 1950s, our next generation of craft needs to be flexible enough to go many different places and land on many different worlds.
That's expensive, isn't it?
Yes, but the reusability brings the cost down a lot. Partnering with private industry brings the cost down a lot. Stable goals that do not get changed every time there is a new president would make a BIG difference.
And remember -- every dollar spent on space is spent ON EARTH. All the R&D and construction contracts go to companies and institutions on Earth which employ people, and have payrolls. It would require a big push for STEM education, which would benefit lots of other technology programs and companies, also. Face it, without the Apollo Program, you probably wouldn't have smartphones.
Is there a down side?
There is some concern that the Trump administration is pushing NASA to the Moon and Mars as a way of deemphasizing Earth resources programs and climate research. It may be, and those programs will need protection in Congress.
But going to the Moon, Mars, and beyond is still a wise investment in the future of the human species.
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